China buy now pay later market surges with digital payment tech, super apps like Alipay & WeChat, e-commerce growth, offline retail integration, and AI-driven credit.
Highlights of the China Buy Now Pay Later Market:
- By component type, the platform/solution segment held a dominant presence in the market in 2024.
- By component type, the services segment is expected to grow at the fastest rate in the market during the forecast period of 2025 to 2034.
- By mode, the online segment accounted for a considerable share of the market in 2024.
- By mode, the offline segment is projected to experience the highest growth rate in the market between 2025 and 2034.
- By purchase ticket size, the small ticket item (up to US$300) segment registered its dominance over the market in 2024.
- By purchase ticket size, the mid ticket item (US$ 300 to US$ 1000) segment is set to experience the fastest rate of market growth from 2025 to 2034.
- By business model, the business-driven segment dominated the market.
- By business model, the customer-driven segment is anticipated to grow with the highest CAGR in the market during the studied years.
- By vertical type, the electronics segment maintained a leading position in the China buy now pay later market in 2024.
- By vertical type, the fashion segment is predicted to witness significant growth in the market over the forecast period.
Buy now pay later refers to a payment method that allows consumers to purchase a product and pay the amount in installments over a set period. It is a kind of short-term loan for consumers with a tight budget to purchase minor or expensive products and pay for them later in installments. The buy now pay later services do not charge any extra service fees or interest, making them an attractive choice for consumers.
China buy now pay later market is experiencing rapid growth with the advancement in payment technology, dominance of super apps, and adoption of digital wallets. Furthermore, the expansion of the e-commerce ecosystem, the integration of buy now pay later in offline retail, and rising disposable income contribute immensely to market growth.
Market Trends
- Digital payment adoption: Consumers are adopting Digital payments, virtual cards, and contactless payments with the increase in financial technology.
- Dominance of Super Apps and digital wallets: Super Apps are commonly used in China, like WeChat Pay and Alipay, with a 90% market share, offering consumers seamless access to credit.
- E-commerce expansion: Major e-commerce platforms have integrated BNPL services to cater to the consumers who are in need of flexible financing options.
- Integration of BNPL into the offline market: Big offline retailers are providing buy now pay later services to attract consumers and boost big-ticket sales.
Restraints
Regulatory scrutiny and compliance challenges
The buy now pay later market in China has grown rapidly and has ushered in the need for Chinese regulators to address transparency to ensure fair competition in the market. The market is developing with emerging regulatory frameworks to protect consumers and encourage fair lending practices. This helps in fostering a stable environment in the market, but also slows down new entrants in the market with high regulatory scrutiny.
Market Saturation and Data Privacy
The China buy now pay later market is dominated by two major platforms, AliPay & WeChat Pay, and this makes it challenging for the new entrants in the market to establish their product and gain market share. These tech giants create high entry barriers for new entrants providing BNPL services.
China’s tech giants with digital payment platforms have often been criticized for surveillance implications, and they provide user data to the government as a regulatory mandate.
Opportunity
Market expansion into tier-2 and tier-3 cities
The China buy now pay later market is expanding towards offline adoption, and this further expands the market into tier-2 and tier-3 cities, enhancing accessibility. The expansion is expected to increase spending on durable goods, making buy now pay later a standard choice in the retail segment.
Technological advancements in credit assessment
China is a global technological hub, and its buy now pay later market is being integrated with advanced technological breakthroughs, like most BNPL providers have started leveraging AI for credit assessments, which helps in much faster data interpretation and approvals, with a huge reduction in the default rates. These AI-driven credit risk assessment models are designed to enhance financial inclusion and reduce default rates, which eventually aid in market growth.
Recent Developments in China Buy Now Pay Later Market:
- In June 2022, China E-commerce firm Kuaishou launched Sesame Credit's buy now and pay later (BNPL) service. Under the service, users with a Sesame score of 550 and above will be able to order, receive, and try the products before paying on its e-commerce platform, allowing its customers to easily return and exchange goods.